If you’ve always been in charge of the grill at family gatherings and dreamed of turning your passion into a profitable business, you must understand how much BBQ restaurants make before you jump into the venture.
The type of restaurant you run, location, menu pricing, and expenses for overhead, labor, and ingredients affect revenue. Let’s dive into how much money you can expect to earn, the factors that play a role in profitability, and how you can forecast sales to make better decisions for your business.
How much profit do most BBQ restaurants make?
To put it into perspective, let’s use Barque Smokehouse’s menu. Based on menu prices ranging from $11 sandwiches to $60 full racks of ribs, and assuming an average order value of around $25 to $30, a well-positioned BBQ restaurant could generate $90,000 to $100,000 in monthly revenue if it serves about 120 to 130 guests per day.
This is achievable with a balanced mix of lunch, dinner, dine-in, and takeout service, especially if items like $35 brisket plates or $13.27 sandwich combos are selling consistently throughout the week.
Let’s break that down: If a restaurant like Barque serves 100 guests daily with an average ticket size of $30, that’s $3,000 per day, or roughly $90,000 per month over a six-day week.
Add higher-price specials like the $60 full rack, $10 drinks, or $25 smoked whole chicken dinners, and the revenue potential climbs. Multiply monthly totals across the year, and you’re looking at over $1 million annually in gross revenue, which matches the top end of what upscale or fast-casual BBQ restaurants report.
Seasonal averages
Seasonal averages can swing your BBQ restaurant’s revenue quite a bit. In winter or rainy months, revenue drops during colder months or non‑peak seasons because fewer people dine out or attend outdoor events, as in the case of BBQ food trucks.
To spot this early, track your month‑to‑month sales and compare year‑over‑year numbers. If January is 15% below last January, that’s your seasonal cost to plan for.
In contrast, event‑heavy seasons, like spring and summer, often see a spike due to catering and festivals. 96% of consumers plan to grill between Memorial Day and Labor Day, so there’s strong demand for barbecue meats, which you can leverage for increased revenue streams.
Consider offering special summer packages, catering services for backyard barbecues, and festival pop-ups. If your BBQ restaurant partners with local festivals or runs a food truck at weekend fairs, you can see 30% to 50% higher weekly revenue in those months.
Factors that affect BBQ restaurant profitability
The combination of different factors influences how profitable your BBQ restaurant will be. Location, competition, ingredient costs, and labor expenses play a role in the success of your business.
1. Location and customer traffic
Picking the right location is one of the biggest factors in your BBQ restaurant’s success. High‑traffic, visible areas lead to higher walk‑ins and AOV (average order value). A spot on a busy street or near offices brings in more impulse diners who’ll spend on extra sides or drinks.
Some types of BBQ restaurants, like food trucks parked outside office parks or BBQ pop‑ups at weekend markets, see consistent foot traffic. Industrial, beach, or event‑heavy areas offer stable demand because you tap into workers’ lunch breaks or tourists looking for local eats.
For example, food trucks that park outside business parks Monday to Friday often hit $1,000 per stop. Pairing that with a beachside weekend event can push weekly sales from $5,000 to $8,000.
Check local foot traffic and BBQ competition before signing a lease. Do a simple site visit at different times and count how many people walk by in an hour, and note nearby restaurants, especially any offering barbecue or smoked meats.
Use free tools like Google Maps’ “popular times” to see peak hours. You should also ask neighboring businesses how busy they are and if foot traffic feels steady.
2. Surrounding businesses
When you scout your spot, don’t just look at foot traffic, but who your neighbors are. While there might not be BBQ-focused restaurants, there might still be other types of restaurants that serve barbecue items, and that competition can cut into your sales.
For instance, if you open across from a brewpub serving smoked wings, expect some share‑the‑crowd effect.
To stand out, create something diners can’t get next door. If nearby spots do basic pulled pork, you could serve a signature smoked brisket with a house‑made bourbon glaze or offer a build‑your‑own BBQ bowl with rotating regional rubs.
One real-life example is Austin Cho Kitchen, which adds a Korean twist to Texan BBQ, like Austin Cho dog (kimchi and brisket) and Koreano Cho dog (chorizo and kimchi).
You can also spend a lunch hour sampling three neighbors’ barbecue or smoked dishes. Note where your flavors or presentation could differ, and design one “wow” item. If competitors stick to ribs and sausage, introduce a smoked salmon or vegetarian smoked portobello special to grab attention.
3. Menu pricing and design
Your menu is your biggest tool for boosting revenue. First, you must decide how much you’ll price your food.
A straightforward menu of ribs, brisket, and pulled pork priced at $15 to $25 per plate works well for most customers. For a premium twist, like Korean‑style smoked pork, you can price it at $28 or Jamaican jerk brisket at $30.
To test premium pricing, run one special each month and track sales: if that dish sells at least 20 plates in a week, it’s worth keeping on the menu.
Next, include high‑margin items, like sides, desserts, and drinks. Sides like mac ‘n’ cheese or coleslaw cost you $1.50 to make but sell for $5. Drinks and desserts often have even better returns, with a $2 cost for a slice of pie that sells for $6.
Aim for at least 30% of your menu items to be these higher‑margin add‑ons. Train servers to suggest additional items like a slice of pecan pie or local craft soda with their order.
Even a 5% add‑on rate can boost your average check by $1 to $2 per ticket, adding thousands of dollars a month to your bottom line.
Make sure to practice menu engineering, which is highlighting profitable dishes in your menu. Calculate each dish’s contribution margin and see exactly which items make the most per sale and which ones drain your food costs and kitchen time.
Create a chart with columns for dish name, food cost, price, and number sold. Then calculate profit per dish and sales volume. Highlight your stars (high profit, high sales) and your dogs (low profit, low sales).
Focus promotions and menu placement on the stars, like moving them to the top of the menu or featuring them as specials. For the dogs, either revamp the recipe, adjust the price, or drop them altogether.
4. Ingredient sourcing and food costs
Keeping your food costs in check starts with meat, which often makes up a huge chunk of your expenses on ingredients. The average restaurant food cost percentage is 40%, so if you sell $10,000 of barbecue plates in a month, that means around $4,000 goes just to buying meat.
To see where you stand, track your monthly meat spend and divide by your meat‑based sales. If you find it’s above 40%, dig into your invoices to spot which cuts cost the most and decide if you need to switch suppliers or adjust your pricing.
One way to save is to source locally for freshness and lower logistics costs. Local farms cut out middlemen and long hauls, so you pay less for high‑quality brisket or ribs.
Let’s say you buy a whole brisket from a local ranch for $5.50 per pound instead of $7.25 from a national distributor. At 10 briskets per week, you save $1,750 monthly.
Additionally, you can highlight being locally sourced on your menu. Customers often appreciate knowing they’re supporting their own farmers, which can justify slightly higher prices and create a story around your restaurant’s ingredients.
Make sure you also negotiate bulk pricing or seasonal contracts. Meet with two to three meat suppliers each quarter. Ask for volume discounts, like 5% off if you buy over 500 pounds of pork per month, or a fixed price for the winter season when meat costs usually rise.
If a supplier won’t budge, use their quote to leverage a better deal from another. Locking in a seasonal contract can shield you from sudden spikes in meat market prices, which are 8.6% higher than in the past year.
5. Labor costs
Labor is typically the second‑biggest expense after food in any BBQ restaurant, after food costs. Salaries, wages, and benefits take up an average of 34% for both full‑service and limited‑service operations. If your BBQ spot does $100,000 in sales, you can expect to spend about $34,000 on payroll and benefits each month.
In our 2025 restaurant workforce report, we also found that median base wages have increased 4%, from $13.64 to $14.20 per hour. As such, managing labor costs has become more important.
Make sure you track average wages and overtime weekly. If you notice overtime spiking above 5% of weekly payroll, adjust schedules or bring in part‑time help to avoid costly overtime premiums.
Your restaurant payroll software should help you spot trends like overtime creep and schedule inefficiencies. By checking your actual data, you can make sure you have the right number of employees during peak hours without overscheduling.
A dedicated restaurant scheduling software can help match staffing to demand and avoid unnecessary costs. Tools that link your sales data to your schedule help you see exactly how many people you need at lunch rush versus a slow Tuesday afternoon.
According to our restaurant labor costs playbook, about 40% of restaurants are able to keep their labor costs between 20% and 25% of their revenue. This shows that it’s possible to optimize labor expenses effectively.
Take note that high turnover also increases hiring and training expenses. To minimize turnover, invest in cross-training staff. Teach line cooks to run the register and servers to help clear tables. That way, you can cover shifts without hiring extra people.
For example, if your kitchen can flex two cooks into front‑counter service during slow hours, you save on paying an extra server for that shift.
6. Operational efficiency
Running an efficient kitchen and FOH saves your BBQ restaurant real money each month. Use POS systems, inventory tracking, and task automation to help reduce errors.
A modern POS can track sales by item in real time, so you know exactly which smoked meats and sides are selling. If your BBQ restaurant consistently sees pulled pork sandwiches outselling brisket plates by 30%, you can create combo deals highlighting it or run promotions that encourage customers to try different dishes.
Next, watch your kitchen’s energy use because it adds up fast. Old smokers, grills, and fryers can spike your utility bills. When upgrading, choose energy-efficient models with better insulation and lower electricity consumption. Look for Energy Star-certified equipment that can reduce power usage by up to 30%.
That means if your BBQ spot spends $2,000 monthly on gas and electricity, you could save as much as $300 just by using energy-efficient appliances.
Additionally, track waste and usage weekly to reduce loss. Set up a quick end‑of‑week inventory check to compare what you should have on hand (based on sales data from your POS) to what’s actually in storage.
If you planned for 50 pounds of ribs but only sold amounts that would use 45 pounds, that extra 5 pounds is waste or shrinkage. Multiply that by your meat cost per pound to see dollars lost.
Then, investigate whether it was trim, spoilage, or prep‑area mistakes. Fixing just two pounds of weekly waste at $5 per pound saves $40, or about $160 a month.
7. Branding and advertising
Strong restaurant branding and smart advertising can bring more people to your BBQ business each month. Focus on social media visibility. Post mouthwatering photos of your smoked ribs and behind‑the‑scenes grilling videos on Instagram and TikTok at least three times a week.
84% of diners prefer to see photos of your food and drinks on your social media page. So, make sure you create high-quality, professional-looking content that showcases your restaurant’s unique products.
Track which posts drive the most engagement and repeat the themes. For example, if a video of your pitmaster slicing brisket gets 500 likes, create more content like that.
Next, host events and pop‑ups to create buzz. Plan one quarterly barbecue class where guests pay $50 to learn smoking techniques and sample your menu. These events bring in extra revenue and can also turn participants into regular customers.
Loyalty rewards and birthday discounts are great ways to keep customers coming back. Set up a simple loyalty program in your POS, such as every fifth visit earns a free side or drink.
You can also send a “Happy Birthday” coupon for 10% off their meal. This small cost can bring in a full‑price party of friends, easily covering that discount and adding to your monthly revenue.
8. Taxes, licenses, and more fees
Aside from food and labor costs, you also have to cover city and state regulations that vary widely and cut into your take‑home income.
For example, a small barbecue joint in California might pay sales tax, health permits, and waste disposal fees totaling 2% to 4% of monthly sales, while a similar spot in Texas could pay closer to 1% to 2%. On $100,000 in monthly sales, that difference alone can be $2,000 per month in extra costs.
Don’t forget other recurring fees: your liquor license (if you serve drinks) can run from $3,000 to $10,000 a year, and city health inspections often charge $200 to $500 per visit. Some cities also require food handler permit renewals and fire department inspections. All told, these add‑ons can shave 1% to 3% off your profit margin if you don’t plan ahead.
For legal and financial matters, it’s best to work with a local accountant or restaurant consultant. They can help you file for available tax credits, like a job‑creation credit some states offer, or bundle permit renewals to cut service fees.
If you spend $3,000 a year on a consultant but they save you $10,000 in avoided fines and optimized tax filings, that’s a net gain of $7,000 toward your bottom line without the headache.
How to forecast BBQ restaurant sales
It’s important to forecast sales for your restaurant because it helps you plan inventory, staffing, and marketing strategies. These financial projections can help you anticipate potential revenue and expenses.
1. Use historical data
If you’re already in operation, using actual data lets you make more accurate predictions about future performance. Open your POS or accounting records and pull monthly sales for the last 12 months.
Take note of patterns. Did you average $80,000 in summer and $60,000 in winter? That gives you a base to expect similar swings next year.
If you don’t have a full year yet, look at local restaurant associations or industry reports. These sources can provide benchmarking data for similar restaurant types in your region.
Check median sales figures, seasonal trends, and average ticket sizes. Consider geographic factors like tourism seasons, local events, and population demographics that might impact your BBQ restaurant’s potential revenue.
2. Understand seasonality
Every BBQ restaurant has slow and peak months, so you need to plan ahead. Look at your past sales and spot the quiet seasons, often winter or late fall, and the busy ones, like summer BBQ season.
If you usually do $100,000 in June but only $75,000 in January, that $25,000 gap is your seasonal swing. Knowing that, you can set aside extra funds in summer to cover lean winter months.
To make this work, build a rolling 12‑month projection and update quarterly. Start by listing your expected sales for each month based on last year’s numbers.
Then, every three months, compare actuals to your forecast and tweak the rest of the year. For example, if July sales beat your estimate by 10%, add that boost into August and September projections.
3. Set targets based on cost control
Set targets around your key costs: COGS (Cost of Goods Sold), labor, and overhead. Calculate your COGS as a percentage of sales. If you sell $100,000 of barbecue plates and spend $35,000 on all ingredients (meat, sides, sauces), your COGS is 35%.
Aim to keep your restaurant’s cost of goods sold under 30% to 35% by watching portion sizes and sourcing locally. Next, add your labor target. Many restaurants use 30% of sales for wages and benefits, and your overhead (rent, utilities, insurance), which often sits around 10% to 15%.
Once you know these, you can find your break-even point. For example, if your monthly fixed overhead is $20,000 and you target a 30% COGS plus 30% labor (total variable costs 60%), you need enough sales so that your 40% margin covers that $20,000.
Divide $20,000 by 0.40 and you get $50,000 in sales needed just to break even. Anything above that starts to become a profit.
To set a profit threshold, decide how much you should earn. If you aim for $10,000 net profit, add that to your $20,000 overhead, giving $30,000. Divide by your 40% margin, and you need $75,000 in monthly sales to hit that goal.
What BBQ restaurants make the most money?
There are different types of BBQ restaurants, each with its own earning potential. Fast-casual, upscale, or fusion restaurant concepts, food trucks, and those that offer multi-channel options make the most money.
Fast-casual BBQ chains
Fast‑casual BBQ chains lean on high volume and franchise support to drive big numbers each month. Brands like Dickey’s Barbecue Pit show how a replicated model can scale.
Dickey’s Barbecue Pit hit a peak of $89 million in revenue in 2024, which is roughly $7.4 million per month system‑wide, spread across hundreds of locations.
As an owner, your individual unit’s sales depend on foot traffic and local marketing, but the franchise backing gives you tested menus, bulk purchasing power, and national brand recognition.
Upscale or fusion BBQ concepts
Upscale or fusion BBQ concepts charge more per ticket and build a strong brand, so they can make higher monthly revenue. Take Barque Smokehouse BBQ in Toronto, for example, with offerings like the baby back ribs, beef brisket, smoked lamb shoulder, and smoked duck tacos.
If Barque Smokehouse does $150,000 in sales a month with an average check of $40, that’s about 3,750 covers.
High price point per ticket with strong branding means you can focus on fewer covers and still meet your revenue goals. If you aim for $100,000 a month with a $40 average check, target 2,500 covers.
Let’s break that down: over 26 open days, that’s about 96 guests per day. Use reservations and special events to make sure you hit that count. Promote a monthly whiskey‑and‑BBQ pairing dinner or a fusion‑style collaboration with a local chef.
BBQ food trucks
Running a BBQ food truck gives you flexibility, mobility, and low overhead, so you can make solid money each month without a big investment.
Take Big Belly Brothers BBQ in Denver. They started their first trailer in 2021 and by 2024 were voted “Best BBQ in Aurora,” thanks to weekly social updates and event catering. They often hit between $10,000 and $50,000 in sales each month, with profit margins around 20% to 30% because they skip dining‑room labor and rent.
To boost your own truck’s revenue, map out regular stops. Pick four to five weekday lunch locations near offices or factories. Aim for $1,000 per stop to reach $5,000 weekly.
Consider weekend events and catering as well. Just two $5,000 gigs push you toward $15,000 in a week.
Don’t forget to promote your location on social media. Post daily updates so followers know where you’ll be. Big Belly Brothers uses Instagram to announce its schedule and drive foot traffic.
Multi-channel BBQ restaurants
Offering multiple channels, dine‑in, delivery, catering, workshops, and merch, helps smooth out your monthly revenue and reach more customers. Take Cali BBQ in San Diego as an example.
They run a small dining room, offer delivery through their website, cater office lunches (with a “win free catering” promo to build leads), host weekend smoking workshops, and sell branded sauces and T‑shirts online. By diversifying, they hit roughly $60,000 to $80,000 in total sales each month, even when dine‑in traffic dips.
Setting up and monitoring multiple channels can be complicated, but the payoff is worthwhile when executed correctly. Make sure to audit your current sales by channel and set goals for each.
For example, you can set these monthly targets:
- Dine-in: $60,000
- Delivery: $6,000
- Catering: $6,000
- Workshops: $750
- Merch: $500
Track the performance of each channel, especially during slow seasons. Check data regularly to find opportunities for growth, such as promotional strategies or new menu items.
Bring home more with data
Everything from menu pricing and ingredient sourcing to location and labor efficiency can impact how much your BBQ restaurant makes. Understanding the numbers and implementing strategies to manage costs can help you run a profitable business.
One of the best ways to protect your bottom line is to manage labor costs effectively. With 7shifts, you can schedule smarter and match your team’s hours with real-time sales data, reducing overtime expenses.

Rebecca Hebert, Sales Development Representative
Rebecca Hebert
Sales Development Representative
Rebecca Hebert is a former restaurant industry professional with nearly 20 years of hands-on experience leading teams in fast-paced hospitality environments. Rebecca brings that firsthand knowledge to the tech side of the industry, helping restaurants streamline their operations with purpose-built workforce management solutions. As an active contributor to expansion efforts, she’s passionate about empowering restaurateurs with tools that genuinely support their day-to-day operations.